STL
6–4
BUF
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 12-9-1
6–4
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 10-11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
382616620
BUF
115216115446
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 12-9-1 · BUF 10-11-2 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Sabres
The Blues were outchanced (4.6 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 6–4 anyway. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 46 and 20 shots on goal.
STL 2.5 xG · 20 shots
BUF 4.6 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 1.3
2nd
0.8 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 01:08 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Schenn · 1st 05:02 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jake Neighbours · 1st 10:59 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 13:32 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Zach Benson · 2nd 06:10 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 10:53 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 13:04 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
8
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 13:28 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 04:38 · 6–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
10
JJ Peterka · 3rd 16:42 · 6–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 22.
STL 22%BUF 78%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 01:08 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Schenn · 1st 05:02 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jake Neighbours · 1st 10:59 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 13:32 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Zach Benson · 2nd 06:10 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 10:53 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 13:04 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
8
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 13:28 · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 04:38 · 6–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
10
JJ Peterka · 3rd 16:42 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 6–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
3
Nick Leddy, Pavel Buchnevich · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
42/46 saves · 4 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/20 saves · 6 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
