St. Louis Blues
STL · 13-11-1
3–6
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 17-5-5
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
31101008329
VGK
113416120649
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 13-11-1 · VGK 17-5-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues fell to the Golden Knights
The Blues let a 3–1 lead get away: the Golden Knights came back with five unanswered goals — Marchessault's equalizer — and won 3–6. The Golden Knights owned the 3rd period, 2.2 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 49 and 29 shots on goal.
STL 2.4 xG · 29 shots
VGK 5.2 xG · 49 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 1.4
2nd
1.1 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 2.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zach Whitecloud · 1st 08:03 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jake Neighbours · 1st 09:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Kevin Hayes · 1st 10:33 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 17:11 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Jack Eichel · 2nd 09:42 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 11:51 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Keegan Kolesar · 2nd 12:18 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Michael Amadio · 2nd 19:42 · 3–5 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
9
William Karlsson · 3rd 19:48 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 16.
STL 16%VGK 84%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zach Whitecloud · 1st 08:03 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jake Neighbours · 1st 09:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Kevin Hayes · 1st 10:33 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 17:11 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Jack Eichel · 2nd 09:42 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 11:51 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Keegan Kolesar · 2nd 12:18 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Michael Amadio · 2nd 19:42 · PP · 3–5
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
9
William Karlsson · 3rd 19:48 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
43/48 saves · 5 GA · 5.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.