St. Louis Blues
STL · 13-14-1
4–6
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 15-9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1931909437
DET
21211238632
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 13-14-1 · DET 15-9-4 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.4 expected goals); the Blues lost 4–6. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.4, on 37 and 32 shots on goal.
STL 3.0 xG · 37 shots
DET 3.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 05:56 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jake Walman · 1st 13:33 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 15:31 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 01:40 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 02:11 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Moritz Seider · 2nd 09:47 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
7
Marco Scandella · 2nd 16:53 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
8
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 00:48 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
9
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 06:38 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
10
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 18:21 · 4–6 · backhand shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 44.
STL 44%DET 56%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 05:56 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jake Walman · 1st 13:33 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 15:31 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 01:40 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 02:11 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Moritz Seider · 2nd 09:47 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
7
Marco Scandella · 2nd 16:53 · SH · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
8
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 00:48 · PP · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
9
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 06:38 · GWG · 4–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
10
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 4–6
Backhand shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.