St. Louis Blues
STL · 14-14-1
4–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 11-13-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
11421214430
OTT
06115113234
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 14-14-1 · OTT 11-13-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Senators
The Blues earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Blues owned the 1st period, 1.9 to 0.1 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 30 and 34 shots on goal.
STL 3.4 xG · 30 shots
OTT 2.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.1
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd
0.3 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 08:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Robert Thomas · 2nd 05:17 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brandon Saad · 2nd 08:42 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 10:22 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 07:07 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 18:26 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 61.
STL 61%OTT 39%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 08:20 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Robert Thomas · 2nd 05:17 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brandon Saad · 2nd 08:42 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 10:22 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 07:07 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 18:26 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.