St. Louis Blues
STL · 18-16-1
1–2
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 22-11-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
11007012129
COL
1407112223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
STL 18-16-1 · COL 22-11-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
Blues fell to the Avalanche
The Blues created the better chances (2.7 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 1–2. Toews's winner came with 2:54 left. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
STL 2.7 xG · 29 shots
COL 1.5 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.3
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Johansen · 1st 15:11 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
2
Robert Thomas · 1st 16:31 · 1–1 · backhand shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
3
Devon Toews · 3rd 17:06 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 71.
STL 71%COL 29%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Johansen · 1st 15:11 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
2
Robert Thomas · 1st 16:31 · SH · 1–1
Backhand shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
3
Devon Toews · 3rd 17:06 · GWG · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.