St. Louis Blues
STL · 20-18-1
1–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 26-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1909012130
FLA
11118312531
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 20-18-1 · FLA 26-12-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues fell to the Panthers
The Blues created the better chances (3.4 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 1–5. Anthony Stolarz stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
STL 3.4 xG · 30 shots
FLA 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 03:24 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 15:56 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 01:11 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 02:18 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 05:57 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:03 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 60.
STL 60%FLA 40%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 03:24 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 15:56 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 01:11 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 02:18 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 05:57 · 1–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:03 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.