St. Louis Blues
STL · 21-19-2
2–4
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 24-14-6
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0919112230
PHI
01322029442
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 21-19-2 · PHI 24-14-6 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Flyers
The Blues were outchanced (3.6 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 2–4. The Flyers owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.2, on 42 and 30 shots on goal.
STL 2.2 xG · 30 shots
PHI 3.6 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 2.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Scott Laughton · 2nd 01:03 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 18:19 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 19:53 · 1–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Saad · 3rd 01:18 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Owen Tippett · 3rd 14:27 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Joel Farabee · 3rd 19:06 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 27.
STL 27%PHI 73%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Scott Laughton · 2nd 01:03 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 18:19 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 19:53 · 1–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Saad · 3rd 01:18 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Owen Tippett · 3rd 14:27 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Joel Farabee · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Egor Zamula, Cam Atkinson · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.