St. Louis Blues
STL · 29-22-2
6–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 31-18-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1841517630
EDM
214014110338
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 29-22-2 · EDM 31-18-1 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Oilers
Chances were even (3.7 to 4.0 expected goals); the Blues won 6–3. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.7 expected goals to 4.0, on 30 and 38 shots on goal.
STL 3.7 xG · 30 shots
EDM 4.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 2.0
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.6
3rd
1.0 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 10:13 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 13:51 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 19:33 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
4
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 01:09 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Torey Krug · 2nd 08:37 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 15:32 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
7
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 19:35 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Corey Perry · 3rd 11:14 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Brandon Saad · 3rd 17:07 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 46.
STL 46%EDM 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 10:13 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 13:51 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 19:33 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
4
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 01:09 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Torey Krug · 2nd 08:37 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 15:32 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
7
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 19:35 · PP · 5–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Corey Perry · 3rd 11:14 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Brandon Saad · 3rd 17:07 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.