STL
2–4
TOR
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 29-24-2
2–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 30-16-8
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
061718221
TOR
0611439429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 29-24-2 · TOR 30-16-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.2 to 1.9 expected goals); the Blues lost 2–4. Joel Hofer allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 1.9, on 21 and 29 shots on goal.
STL 2.2 xG · 21 shots
TOR 1.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.2
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 2nd 00:22 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brandon Saad · 2nd 17:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 3rd 00:45 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
William Nylander · 3rd 07:29 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 18:52 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Bobby McMann · 3rd 19:22 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 55.
STL 55%TOR 45%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 2nd 00:22 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brandon Saad · 2nd 17:14 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 3rd 00:45 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
William Nylander · 3rd 07:29 · SH · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 18:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Bobby McMann · 3rd 19:22 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
