St. Louis Blues
STL · 30-24-2
4–0
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-19-14
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
083918425
NYI
06020012038
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 30-24-2 · NYI 23-19-14 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Islanders
The Blues were outchanced (3.6 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 4–0 anyway. Jordan Binnington stopped 3.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 38 and 25 shots on goal.
STL 1.7 xG · 25 shots
NYI 3.6 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Saad · 2nd 04:38 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 04:45 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 05:10 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 09:21 · 4–0 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 20.
STL 20%NYI 80%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Saad · 2nd 04:38 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 04:45 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 05:10 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 09:21 · EN · 4–0
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/38 saves · 0 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 3.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.