St. Louis Blues
STL · 31-26-3
3–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 28-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1719111327
MIN
0715010122
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 31-26-3 · MIN 28-27-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues beat the Wild
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.1 expected goals); the Blues won 3–1. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.1, on 27 and 22 shots on goal.
STL 2.4 xG · 27 shots
MIN 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 0.5
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexey Toropchenko · 1st 06:34 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jon Merrill · 2nd 10:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 12:53 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Torey Krug · 3rd 19:11 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 57.
STL 57%MIN 43%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexey Toropchenko · 1st 06:34 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jon Merrill · 2nd 10:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 12:53 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Torey Krug · 3rd 19:11 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.