St. Louis Blues
STL · 36-29-3
4–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 23-42-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0911038427
ANA
17011110228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
STL 36-29-3 · ANA 23-42-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
Blues beat the Ducks
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.5 expected goals); the Blues won 4–2. Lukas Dostal allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
STL 2.8 xG · 27 shots
ANA 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Troy Terry · 1st 13:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
2
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 14:56 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
3
Robert Thomas · 3rd 01:53 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 06:12 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 09:33 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Troy Terry · 3rd 19:52 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 55.
STL 55%ANA 45%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Troy Terry · 1st 13:41 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
2
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 14:56 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
3
Robert Thomas · 3rd 01:53 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 06:12 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 09:33 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Troy Terry · 3rd 19:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.