STL
3–4
COL
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 36-30-3
3–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 44-20-5
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
110213010333
COL
11621415435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–3
STL 36-30-3 · COL 44-20-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–3
Blues fell to the Avalanche
The Blues created the better chances (3.3 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 33 and 35 shots on goal.
STL 3.3 xG · 33 shots
COL 2.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 06:36 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Nathan Walker · 1st 08:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 04:44 · 2–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 06:41 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 08:43 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 18:46 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:15 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 66.
STL 66%COL 34%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 06:36 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Nathan Walker · 1st 08:48 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 04:44 · 2–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 06:41 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 08:43 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 18:46 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:15 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
6
Jonathan Drouin, Valeri Nichushkin · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
