STL
5–3
CGY
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 39-30-4
5–3
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 33-34-5
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
172824519
CGY
2919010328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
STL 39-30-4 · CGY 33-34-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
Blues beat the Flames
The Blues were outchanced (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Dustin Wolf allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 28 and 19 shots on goal.
STL 2.0 xG · 19 shots
CGY 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 13:02 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Andrei Kuzmenko · 1st 14:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 18:37 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 03:27 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 08:54 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Andrei Kuzmenko · 2nd 16:50 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brandon Saad · 3rd 02:04 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 18:45 · 5–3 · snap shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 40.
STL 40%CGY 60%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 13:02 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Andrei Kuzmenko · 1st 14:48 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 18:37 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 03:27 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 08:54 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Andrei Kuzmenko · 2nd 16:50 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brandon Saad · 3rd 02:04 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 18:45 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
