STL
2–5
CAR
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 42-33-5
2–5
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 51-22-7
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
11116014231
CAR
113119310542
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 42-33-5 · CAR 51-22-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues fell to the Hurricanes
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.2 expected goals); the Blues lost 2–5. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 42 shots on goal.
STL 2.2 xG · 31 shots
CAR 2.2 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.2 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 17:34 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 18:59 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 05:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 08:07 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 07:53 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 17:20 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:10 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 51.
STL 51%CAR 49%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 17:34 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 18:59 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 05:41 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 08:07 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 07:53 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 17:20 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:10 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
