St. Louis Blues
STL · 2-2-0
1–4
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-0-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0601319128
MIN
1418215427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 2-2-0 · MIN 2-0-2 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Wild
The Blues were outchanced (2.7 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
STL 2.1 xG · 28 shots
MIN 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Hartman · 1st 03:50 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Jakub Lauko · 2nd 07:52 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Marco Rossi · 3rd 00:46 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 10:10 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Filip Gustavsson · 3rd 19:51 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 39.
STL 39%MIN 61%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Hartman · 1st 03:50 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Jakub Lauko · 2nd 07:52 · SH · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Marco Rossi · 3rd 00:46 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 10:10 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Filip Gustavsson · 3rd 19:51 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.