STL
4–3
CAR
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 4-2-0
4–3
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 2-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0431114419
CAR
11908213340
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 4-2-0 · CAR 2-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Hurricanes
The Blues were outchanced (3.0 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.9, on 40 and 19 shots on goal.
STL 1.9 xG · 19 shots
CAR 3.0 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 2.0
2nd
1.3 · 0.4
3rd
0.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 01:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 10:22 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 11:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 13:31 · 3–1 · poke shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 01:39 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 02:57 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 04:26 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 32.
STL 32%CAR 68%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 01:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 10:22 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 11:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 13:31 · 3–1
Poke shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 01:39 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 02:57 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 04:26 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
