St. Louis Blues
STL · 6-6-0
4–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 6-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0431416424
TOR
11208117237
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
STL 6-6-0 · TOR 6-5-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
Blues beat the Maple Leafs
The Blues were outchanced (3.6 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.9, on 37 and 24 shots on goal.
STL 1.9 xG · 24 shots
TOR 3.6 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
2nd
1.4 · 0.8
3rd
0.2 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 05:25 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
2
Colton Parayko · 2nd 03:29 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 08:08 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Colton Parayko · 2nd 12:33 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 13:52 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
6
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 19:21 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 24.
STL 24%TOR 76%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 05:25 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
2
Colton Parayko · 2nd 03:29 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 08:08 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Colton Parayko · 2nd 12:33 · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 13:52 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
6
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 19:21 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.