STL
3–2
TBL
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 7-6-0
3–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 7-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0321218323
TBL
091618223
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 7-6-0 · TBL 7-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Lightning
The Blues were outchanced (2.9 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 23 and 23 shots on goal.
STL 1.9 xG · 23 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Perbix · 2nd 02:39 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
2
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 07:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 18:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 08:51 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Victor Hedman · 3rd 11:43 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 33.
STL 33%TBL 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Perbix · 2nd 02:39 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
2
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 07:57 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 18:25 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 08:51 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Victor Hedman · 3rd 11:43 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
