St. Louis Blues
STL · 7-7-0
2–4
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 6-5-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
180215215
UTA
11111426431
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 7-7-0 · UTA 6-5-3 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Mammoth
The Blues were outchanced (2.2 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.5, on 31 and 15 shots on goal.
STL 1.5 xG · 15 shots
UTA 2.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
0.2 · 0.9
3rd
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Kesselring · 1st 00:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Colton Parayko · 1st 18:41 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 18:09 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 13:29 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 16:39 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jack McBain · 3rd 19:56 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 37.
STL 37%UTA 63%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Kesselring · 1st 00:18 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Colton Parayko · 1st 18:41 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 18:09 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 13:29 · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 16:39 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jack McBain · 3rd 19:56 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
13/15 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.