STL
3–4
SJS
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 14-14-2
3–4
FinalL
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 11-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
140828320
SJS
11421116431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
STL 14-14-2 · SJS 11-16-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
Blues fell to the Sharks
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.3 expected goals); the Blues lost 3–4. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 20 and 31 shots on goal.
STL 2.5 xG · 20 shots
SJS 2.3 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 01:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jake Neighbours · 1st 10:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Macklin Celebrini · 2nd 05:43 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Macklin Celebrini · 2nd 19:53 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 05:34 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Jake Walman · 3rd 06:01 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 07:57 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 54.
STL 54%SJS 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Sharks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 01:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jake Neighbours · 1st 10:26 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Macklin Celebrini · 2nd 05:43 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Macklin Celebrini · 2nd 19:53 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 05:34 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Jake Walman · 3rd 06:01 · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 07:57 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Timothy Liljegren, Nikolai Kovalenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
