STL
7–4
NSH
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 17-16-4
7–4
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 11-18-7
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
4121929730
NSH
21018112430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 17-16-4 · NSH 11-18-7 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Predators
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.6 expected goals); the Blues won 7–4. Juuse Saros allowed 3.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 30 and 30 shots on goal.
STL 2.5 xG · 30 shots
NSH 2.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 01:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (11%)
2
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 02:47 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Mark Jankowski · 1st 05:42 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 09:57 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Steven Stamkos · 1st 13:17 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Cam Fowler · 1st 18:05 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nick Blankenburg · 2nd 05:31 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Philip Broberg · 2nd 15:29 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 11:00 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Robert Thomas · 3rd 15:10 · 6–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
11
Colton Parayko · 3rd 18:45 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 48.
STL 48%NSH 52%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 01:20 · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (11%)
2
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 02:47 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Mark Jankowski · 1st 05:42 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 09:57 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Steven Stamkos · 1st 13:17 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Cam Fowler · 1st 18:05 · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nick Blankenburg · 2nd 05:31 · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Philip Broberg · 2nd 15:29 · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 11:00 · PP · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Robert Thomas · 3rd 15:10 · PP · 6–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
11
Colton Parayko · 3rd 18:45 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
8
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/16 saves · 5 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 3.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
