STL
2–4
BUF
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 17-17-4
2–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 14-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
115011111237
BUF
260624416
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 17-17-4 · BUF 14-19-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Sabres
The Blues created the better chances (3.9 to 1.4 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Jordan Binnington allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.4, on 37 and 16 shots on goal.
STL 3.9 xG · 37 shots
BUF 1.4 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.4
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd
1.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Peyton Krebs · 1st 06:52 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:06 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Schenn · 1st 15:47 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (75%)
4
Nathan Walker · 3rd 05:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Jason Zucker · 3rd 10:30 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Jiri Kulich · 3rd 16:19 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 86.
STL 86%BUF 14%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Peyton Krebs · 1st 06:52 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:06 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Schenn · 1st 15:47 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (75%)
4
Nathan Walker · 3rd 05:56 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Jason Zucker · 3rd 10:30 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Jiri Kulich · 3rd 16:19 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
12/16 saves · 4 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
