St. Louis Blues
STL · 23-22-4
2–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 30-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
140419217
VGK
21411017431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
STL 23-22-4 · VGK 30-14-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
Blues fell to the Golden Knights
The Blues were outchanced (3.5 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 2–4. The Golden Knights owned the 1st period, 1.6 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 31 and 17 shots on goal.
STL 2.4 xG · 17 shots
VGK 3.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Stone · 1st 00:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 1st 08:54 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 10:22 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 06:30 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 16:34 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 19:33 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 33.
STL 33%VGK 67%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Stone · 1st 00:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 1st 08:54 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 10:22 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 06:30 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 16:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 19:33 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.