St. Louis Blues
STL · 24-26-5
2–3
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 33-20-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1101903222
FLA
21601018334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 24-26-5 · FLA 33-20-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Panthers
The Blues were outchanced (3.3 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost 2–3. Tkachuk's winner came with 0:12 left. The Panthers owned the 1st period, 1.9 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 34 and 22 shots on goal.
STL 2.1 xG · 22 shots
FLA 3.3 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.6 · 1.9
2nd
1.3 · 0.6
3rd
0.2 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 03:31 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
2
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 07:09 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 16:54 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 05:18 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:48 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 30.
STL 30%FLA 70%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 03:31 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
2
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 07:09 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 16:54 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 05:18 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:48 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.