St. Louis Blues
STL · 25-26-6
3–4
Final / SOL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 40-14-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
STL
150829020324
WPG
1101817031428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
STL 25-26-6 · WPG 40-14-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
Blues fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.4 expected goals); the Blues lost it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 24 and 28 shots on goal.
STL 2.7 xG · 24 shots
WPG 2.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
OT
0.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 04:58 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Robert Thomas · 1st 15:34 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 11:01 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Robert Thomas · 3rd 00:16 · 2–2 · wrap around shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 17:10 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 19:32 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 55.
STL 55%WPG 45%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 04:58 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Robert Thomas · 1st 15:34 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 11:01 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Robert Thomas · 3rd 00:16 · 2–2
Wrap around shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 17:10 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 19:32 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Jets
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.