St. Louis Blues
STL · 33-28-7
7–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 29-31-7
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
21034212726
ANA
0711117225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
STL 33-28-7 · ANA 29-31-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
Blues beat the Ducks
The Blues earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 2.1, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Lukas Dostal allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
STL 3.9 xG · 26 shots
ANA 2.1 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 00:41 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 01:30 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 08:19 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 10:06 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Radek Faksa · 2nd 15:39 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 18:10 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Nikita Nesterenko · 3rd 02:23 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 06:18 · 6–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Oskar Sundqvist · 3rd 12:19 · 7–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 76.
STL 76%ANA 24%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 00:41 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 01:30 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 08:19 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 10:06 · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Radek Faksa · 2nd 15:39 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 18:10 · SH · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Nikita Nesterenko · 3rd 02:23 · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 06:18 · PP · 6–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Oskar Sundqvist · 3rd 12:19 · PP · 7–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
9/14 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.