St. Louis Blues
STL · 36-28-7
4–1
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 20-41-9
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0521327425
CHI
0611308127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
STL 36-28-7 · CHI 20-41-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
Blues beat the Blackhawks
The Blues earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Joel Hofer stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 25 and 27 shots on goal.
STL 2.8 xG · 25 shots
CHI 2.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.2
2nd
1.5 · 1.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Robert Thomas · 2nd 15:13 · 1–0 · bat shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 17:20 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 19:06 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nathan Walker · 3rd 01:12 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Zachary Bolduc · 3rd 07:43 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 60.
STL 60%CHI 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Robert Thomas · 2nd 15:13 · 1–0
Bat shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 17:20 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 19:06 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nathan Walker · 3rd 01:12 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Zachary Bolduc · 3rd 07:43 · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.