STL
4–1
NSH
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 37-28-7
4–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-36-8
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
290326418
NSH
0718017132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
STL 37-28-7 · NSH 26-36-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
Blues beat the Predators
The Blues were outchanced (3.8 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Jordan Binnington stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 32 and 18 shots on goal.
STL 1.7 xG · 18 shots
NSH 3.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.2 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 12:13 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alexandre Texier · 1st 16:57 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 01:04 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Justin Faulk · 3rd 10:30 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 19:22 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 19.
STL 19%NSH 81%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 12:13 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alexandre Texier · 1st 16:57 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 01:04 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Justin Faulk · 3rd 10:30 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 19:22 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
