St. Louis Blues
STL · 42-28-7
5–4
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 30-34-12
1ST2ND3RDOTT
STL
043101312519
PIT
181721300428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 42-28-7 · PIT 30-34-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues beat the Penguins
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.1 expected goals); the Blues won it in overtime on Thomas's goal. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 19 and 28 shots on goal.
STL 2.7 xG · 19 shots
PIT 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.6
2nd
1.6 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 03:32 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 00:39 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Connor Dewar · 2nd 04:22 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 06:48 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 08:05 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 05:56 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 11:15 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Rutger McGroarty · 3rd 19:35 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Robert Thomas · OT 02:12 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 44.
STL 44%PIT 56%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 03:32 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 00:39 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Connor Dewar · 2nd 04:22 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 06:48 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 08:05 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 05:56 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 11:15 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Rutger McGroarty · 3rd 19:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Robert Thomas · OT 02:12 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.