STL
7–2
WPG
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 1-2
7–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
3150647728
WPG
070824219
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Blues trail the series 1–2
STL 1-2 · WPG 2-1 · Game 3 — the Blues trail the series 1–2
Blues beat the Jets
The Blues earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.8, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 28 and 19 shots on goal.
STL 2.7 xG · 28 shots
WPG 1.8 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.3
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 00:48 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 03:11 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Cam Fowler · 1st 15:51 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
David Gustafsson · 3rd 04:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 05:24 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 07:56 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 10:32 · 6–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Neal Pionk · 3rd 12:50 · 6–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Colton Parayko · 3rd 16:17 · 7–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 67.
STL 67%WPG 33%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 00:48 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 03:11 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Cam Fowler · 1st 15:51 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
David Gustafsson · 3rd 04:32 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 05:24 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 07:56 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 10:32 · 6–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Neal Pionk · 3rd 12:50 · PP · 6–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Colton Parayko · 3rd 16:17 · PP · 7–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/25 saves · 6 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
