St. Louis Blues
STL · 2-2
5–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1531217524
WPG
11201108131
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
STL 2-2 · WPG 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Blues beat the Jets
The Blues earned it: 2.6 expected goals to 1.6, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.6, on 24 and 31 shots on goal.
STL 2.6 xG · 24 shots
WPG 1.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 13:58 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jake Neighbours · 1st 19:37 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tyler Tucker · 2nd 10:46 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 17:23 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Justin Faulk · 2nd 18:54 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Robert Thomas · 3rd 02:01 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 68.
STL 68%WPG 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 13:58 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jake Neighbours · 1st 19:37 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tyler Tucker · 2nd 10:46 · GWG · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 17:23 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Justin Faulk · 2nd 18:54 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Robert Thomas · 3rd 02:01 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/18 saves · 5 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.