St. Louis Blues
STL · 3-3
5–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 3-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1841504527
WPG
0219112223
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
STL 3-3 · WPG 3-3 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Blues beat the Jets
The Blues were outchanced (4.2 to 3.4 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.4, on 23 and 27 shots on goal.
STL 3.4 xG · 27 shots
WPG 4.2 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
1.8 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 2.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Philip Broberg · 1st 06:05 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 05:43 · 1–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
3
Nathan Walker · 2nd 11:34 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 12:27 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Cam Fowler · 2nd 13:40 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 16:57 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 08:54 · 5–2 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (80%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 39.
STL 39%WPG 61%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Philip Broberg · 1st 06:05 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 05:43 · PP · 1–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
3
Nathan Walker · 2nd 11:34 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 12:27 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Cam Fowler · 2nd 13:40 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 16:57 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 08:54 · PP · 5–2
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (80%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Colton Parayko, Alexey Toropchenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.