St. Louis Blues
STL · 6-8-3
3–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 4-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
21411007331
CGY
010214016240
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
STL 6-8-3 · CGY 4-12-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
Blues beat the Flames
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.7 expected goals); the Blues won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.7, on 31 and 40 shots on goal.
STL 3.1 xG · 31 shots
CGY 2.7 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd
1.4 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Holloway · 1st 10:59 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Matthew Kessel · 1st 13:43 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nathan Walker · 2nd 07:20 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Matt Coronato · 2nd 14:04 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 14:29 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 56.
STL 56%CGY 44%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Holloway · 1st 10:59 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Matthew Kessel · 1st 13:43 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nathan Walker · 2nd 07:20 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Matt Coronato · 2nd 14:04 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 14:29 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:13
Samuel Honzek· Tripping
Holloway scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:51
Rasmus Andersson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:45
Tyler Tucker· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:45
Adam Klapka· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:11
Nathan Walker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Goaltending
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Blues went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Flames power play.