St. Louis Blues
STL · 11-13-7
2–5
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 18-13-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
11003113226
BOS
01121337531
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 11-13-7 · BOS 18-13-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Bruins
The Blues were outchanced (3.3 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 2–5. The Bruins owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
STL 2.4 xG · 26 shots
BOS 3.3 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 05:27 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Fraser Minten · 2nd 12:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 14:34 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Robert Thomas · 3rd 04:51 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Mark Kastelic · 3rd 08:01 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Fraser Minten · 3rd 11:33 · 2–4 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 18:19 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 35.
STL 35%BOS 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 05:27 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Fraser Minten · 2nd 12:48 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 14:34 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Robert Thomas · 3rd 04:51 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Mark Kastelic · 3rd 08:01 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Fraser Minten · 3rd 11:33 · 2–4
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 18:19 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:54
Pavel Zacha· Slashing
Thomas scored on this power play
Minor
1
Pavel Buchnevich, Justin Faulk · Power play (Zacha, slashing) · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:59
Logan Mailloux· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:59
Casey Mittelstadt· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:25
Hampus Lindholm· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:23
Logan Mailloux· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:55
Nick Bjugstad· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Blues went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Bruins power plays.