St. Louis Blues
STL · 12-15-7
2–5
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 13-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1606110222
NSH
1123816526
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 12-15-7 · NSH 13-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Predators
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.6 expected goals); the Blues lost 2–5. Joel Hofer allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 22 and 26 shots on goal.
STL 2.2 xG · 22 shots
NSH 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.2 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 00:27 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dalibor Dvorsky · 1st 10:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:23 · 1–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 05:31 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Reid Schaefer · 2nd 18:45 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Dalibor Dvorsky · 3rd 08:29 · 2–4 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 16:09 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 43.
STL 43%NSH 57%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 13 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 00:27 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dalibor Dvorsky · 1st 10:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:23 · 1–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 05:31 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Reid Schaefer · 2nd 18:45 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Dalibor Dvorsky · 3rd 08:29 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 16:09 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:57
Juuse Saros· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:48
Robby Fabbri· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
15:07
Brayden Schenn· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
15:07
Nicolas Hague· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:30
Michael McCarron· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:30
Logan Mailloux· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:30
Michael McCarron· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:30
Logan Mailloux· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:41
Alexey Toropchenko· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:09
Dalibor Dvorsky· Delaying game puck over glass
Forsberg scored on this power play
Minor
4
Steven Stamkos, Roman Josi · Power play (Dvorsky, delaying game puck over glass) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:29
Logan Mailloux· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:44
Brady Skjei· Tripping
Dvorsky scored on this power play
Minor
6
Jake Neighbours, Pavel Buchnevich · Power play (Skjei, tripping) · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
2–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:12
Nicolas Hague· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Blues went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Predators power plays.