STL
3–2
NSH
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 15-16-8
3–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 16-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
280517320
NSH
18010114232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
STL 15-16-8 · NSH 16-17-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
Blues beat the Predators
The Blues were outchanced (3.6 to 3.1 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Joel Hofer stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 20 shots on goal.
STL 3.1 xG · 20 shots
NSH 3.6 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 08:45 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Tyson Jost · 1st 11:41 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 18:14 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 04:40 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Fedor Svechkov · 3rd 12:03 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 42.
STL 42%NSH 58%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 4 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 08:45 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Tyson Jost · 1st 11:41 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 18:14 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 04:40 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Fedor Svechkov · 3rd 12:03 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:16
Brayden Schenn· Tripping
Brayden Schenn· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:18
Fedor Svechkov· Hooking
Fedor Svechkov· Hooking
Schenn scored on this power play
Minor
1
Cam Fowler, Dalibor Dvorsky · Power play (Svechkov, hooking) · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:54
Logan Mailloux· Hooking
Logan Mailloux· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:43
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Blues went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Predators power plays.