STL
2–4
BUF
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 15-17-8
2–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 20-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
290702218
BUF
18114212434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 15-17-8 · BUF 20-14-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues fell to the Sabres
The Blues were outchanced (3.1 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.5, on 34 and 18 shots on goal.
STL 1.5 xG · 18 shots
BUF 3.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
0.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Ostlund · 1st 02:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brayden Schenn · 1st 05:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jimmy Snuggerud · 1st 08:09 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 15:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Zach Benson · 3rd 01:46 · 2–3 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 18:44 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 23.
STL 23%BUF 77%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 4 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Ostlund · 1st 02:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brayden Schenn · 1st 05:08 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jimmy Snuggerud · 1st 08:09 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 15:17 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Zach Benson · 3rd 01:46 · GWG · 2–3
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 18:44 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:31
Zach Metsa· High-sticking
Zach Metsa· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Cam Fowler· Hooking
Cam Fowler· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:38
Justin Faulk· Interference
Justin Faulk· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:55
Pavel Buchnevich· High-sticking
Pavel Buchnevich· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Blues went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 3 Sabres power plays.