St. Louis Blues
STL · 19-25-9
3–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 30-14-9
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0906311326
DAL
093916424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
STL 19-25-9 · DAL 30-14-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
Blues fell to the Stars
The Blues were outchanced (3.0 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Harley's winner came with 1:07 left. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 24 and 26 shots on goal.
STL 1.8 xG · 26 shots
DAL 3.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
0.5 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 2nd 03:20 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 04:00 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 18:06 · 0–3 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 03:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 06:22 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 15:50 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Harley · 3rd 18:53 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 29.
STL 29%DAL 71%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 2nd 03:20 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 04:00 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 18:06 · PP · 0–3
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 03:15 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 06:22 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 15:50 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Harley · 3rd 18:53 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:48
Matt Duchene· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:06
Tyler Tucker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:11
Robby Fabbri· Slashing
Duchene scored on this power play
Minor
1
Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson · Power play (Fabbri, slashing) · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
11:25
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:58
Dalibor Dvorsky· Slashing
Hintz scored on this power play
Minor
3
Jason Robertson, Miro Heiskanen · Power play (Dvorsky, slashing) · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
0–3
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
03:15
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Blues went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Stars power plays.