St. Louis Blues
STL · 20-25-9
5–4
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 28-22-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
310110111531
FLA
272706420
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
STL 20-25-9 · FLA 28-22-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
Blues beat the Panthers
The Blues were outchanced (3.2 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 5–4 anyway. Snuggerud's winner came with 0:09 left. Daniil Tarasov allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 20 and 31 shots on goal.
STL 2.0 xG · 31 shots
FLA 3.2 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.5
2nd
0.5 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
A.J. Greer · 1st 03:12 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Jake Neighbours · 1st 04:46 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 07:51 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 1st 09:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
5
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 14:27 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 00:41 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 16:52 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 18:39 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Jimmy Snuggerud · 3rd 19:51 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 30.
STL 30%FLA 70%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 18 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
A.J. Greer · 1st 03:12 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Jake Neighbours · 1st 04:46 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 07:51 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 1st 09:22 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
5
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 14:27 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 00:41 · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 16:52 · 4–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 18:39 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Jimmy Snuggerud · 3rd 19:51 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:03
Nathan Walker· Tripping
Reinhart scored on this power play
Minor
4
Matthew Tkachuk, Uvis Balinskis · Power play (Walker, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:44
Niko Mikkola· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:44
Nick Bjugstad· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:51
Aaron Ekblad· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:53
Jeff Petry· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:35
Dalibor Dvorsky· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:34
Philip Broberg· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:20
Mackie Samoskevich· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:09
Dalibor Dvorsky· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:25
Brayden Schenn· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:57
Sam Bennett· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
11:12
A.J. Greer· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
11:12
Tyler Tucker· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:15
Oskar Sundqvist· Tripping
Tkachuk scored on this power play
Minor
8
Sam Reinhart, Gustav Forsling · Power play (Sundqvist, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4–4
3rd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
11:01
Nick Bjugstad· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:46
Joel Hofer· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:46
Matthew Tkachuk· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:06
Niko Mikkola· Interference goalkeeper
Snuggerud scored on this power play
Minor
9
Pavel Buchnevich, Jordan Kyrou · Power play (Mikkola, interference goalkeeper) · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5–4
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Blues went 1-for-5 on the power play and allowed 2 on 7 Panthers power plays.