STL
3–4
NYI
Final / OT · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 25-29-10
3–4
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 37-23-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
STL
15290801323
NYI
01711221813450
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 25-29-10 · NYI 37-23-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues fell to the Islanders
The Blues let a 3–0 lead get away: the Islanders came back with four unanswered goals — Horvat's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Barzal's goal. Joel Hofer stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.7 expected goals to 3.4, on 23 and 49 shots on goal.
STL 3.7 xG · 23 shots
NYI 3.4 xG · 49 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.3 · 1.6
OT
0.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Philip Broberg · 1st 04:06 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (63%)
2
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 09:10 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jimmy Snuggerud · 2nd 10:37 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 17:50 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Calum Ritchie · 3rd 05:52 · 3–2
6
Bo Horvat · 3rd 06:52 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Mathew Barzal · OT 02:11 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 53.
STL 53%NYI 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 5 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Philip Broberg · 1st 04:06 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (63%)
2
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 09:10 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jimmy Snuggerud · 2nd 10:37 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 17:50 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Calum Ritchie · 3rd 05:52 · PP · 3–2
6
Bo Horvat · 3rd 06:52 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Mathew Barzal · OT 02:11 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:16
Jordan Kyrou· Tripping
Jordan Kyrou· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:33
Jimmy Snuggerud· High-sticking
Jimmy Snuggerud· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
05:16
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:20
Adam Pelech· Holding
Adam Pelech· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
05:03
Pavel Buchnevich· High-sticking
Pavel Buchnevich· High-sticking
Ritchie scored on this power play
Double minor
6
Calum Ritchie, Mathew Barzal · Power play (Buchnevich, high-sticking) · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3–3
Overtime
Goaltending
46/49 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Blues went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Islanders power plays.