St. Louis Blues
STL · 27-29-10
3–2
Final / OTW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 32-26-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
STL
060521113325
EDM
0711111604238
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
STL 27-29-10 · EDM 32-26-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
Blues beat the Oilers
Down 0–2 in the 3rd period, the Blues erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Fowler's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Thomas's goal. Joel Hofer stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 38 and 25 shots on goal.
STL 1.9 xG · 25 shots
EDM 3.8 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.3 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 1.2
OT
0.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kasperi Kapanen · 2nd 15:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:56 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Pius Suter · 3rd 12:22 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Cam Fowler · 3rd 16:14 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Robert Thomas · OT 04:51 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 23.
STL 23%EDM 77%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kasperi Kapanen · 2nd 15:41 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:56 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Pius Suter · 3rd 12:22 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Cam Fowler · 3rd 16:14 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Robert Thomas · OT 04:51 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:46
Justin Holl· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:34
Logan Mailloux· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:18
Logan Mailloux· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:08
Zach Hyman· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Blues went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 3 Oilers power plays.