St. Louis Blues
STL · 31-30-11
5–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 31-30-13
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
010215313538
TOR
040415113
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 31-30-11 · TOR 31-30-13 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues beat the Maple Leafs
The Blues earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 0.9, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Joseph Woll allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 0.9, on 38 and 13 shots on goal.
STL 3.7 xG · 38 shots
TOR 0.9 xG · 13 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jimmy Snuggerud · 2nd 05:21 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Justin Holl · 2nd 10:35 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (50%)
3
Jake McCabe · 3rd 05:07 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Pius Suter · 3rd 06:46 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 09:10 · 4–1 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
6
Philip Broberg · 3rd 18:24 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 91.
STL 91%TOR 9%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jimmy Snuggerud · 2nd 05:21 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Justin Holl · 2nd 10:35 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (50%)
3
Jake McCabe · 3rd 05:07 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Pius Suter · 3rd 06:46 · SH · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 09:10 · 4–1
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
6
Philip Broberg · 3rd 18:24 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
12:41
Jack Finley· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:37
Easton Cowan· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:28
Theo Lindstein· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:28
Matias Maccelli· Holding
Broberg scored on this power play
Minor
6
Jake Neighbours, Robert Thomas · Power play (Maccelli, holding) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5–1
Goaltending
12/13 saves · 1 GA · 0.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Blues went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Maple Leafs power plays.