TBL
4–3
OTT
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 6-4-0
4–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
01211438434
OTT
131517315
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 6-4-0 · OTT 4-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Senators
The Lightning earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, and a 4–3 win to show for it. Kucherov's winner came with 2:30 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 15 shots on goal.
TBL 3.5 xG · 34 shots
OTT 2.3 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.9
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 05:44 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 03:17 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 12:21 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Alex Killorn · 3rd 11:04 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 11:44 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 12:55 · 3–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (34%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 17:30 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 69.
TBL 69%OTT 31%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 05:44 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 03:17 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 12:21 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Alex Killorn · 3rd 11:04 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 11:44 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 12:55 · 3–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (34%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 17:30 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
12/15 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
