TBL
5–2
NSH
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 16-9-1
5–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 12-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
21108314533
NSH
14115017236
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 16-9-1 · NSH 12-10-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Predators
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.6 expected goals); the Lightning won 5–2. Juuse Saros allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 36 shots on goal.
TBL 2.9 xG · 33 shots
NSH 2.6 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Corey Perry · 1st 02:53 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
3
Mark Jankowski · 1st 10:51 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Alexandre Carrier · 2nd 12:36 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 02:14 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Nick Paul · 3rd 07:10 · 4–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:40 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 56.
TBL 56%NSH 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:16 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Corey Perry · 1st 02:53 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
3
Mark Jankowski · 1st 10:51 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Alexandre Carrier · 2nd 12:36 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 02:14 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Nick Paul · 3rd 07:10 · 4–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:40 · SH · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Anthony Cirelli, Nikita Kucherov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
