TBL
6–2
SEA
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 18-9-1
6–2
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 16-9-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
21531015630
SEA
113010115238
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 18-9-1 · SEA 16-9-3 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Kraken
The Lightning earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Philipp Grubauer allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 38 shots on goal.
TBL 3.2 xG · 30 shots
SEA 2.3 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ian Cole · 1st 01:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Erik Cernak · 1st 07:24 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jared McCann · 1st 18:39 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 2nd 12:13 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 13:28 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Ross Colton · 2nd 15:36 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:29 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
8
Ryan Donato · 3rd 19:55 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 65.
TBL 65%SEA 35%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Kraken shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ian Cole · 1st 01:31 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Erik Cernak · 1st 07:24 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jared McCann · 1st 18:39 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 2nd 12:13 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 13:28 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Ross Colton · 2nd 15:36 · 5–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:29 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
8
Ryan Donato · 3rd 19:55 · 6–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
