TBL
4–1
CBJ
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 19-9-1
4–1
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 10-17-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
1120839429
CBJ
0611108125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 19-9-1 · CBJ 10-17-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Blue Jackets
The Lightning earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–1 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.7, on 29 and 25 shots on goal.
TBL 3.2 xG · 29 shots
CBJ 1.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
1.2 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 1st 03:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 03:10 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 09:02 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 13:36 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:19 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 74.
TBL 74%CBJ 26%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Blue Jackets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 1st 03:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 03:10 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 09:02 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 13:36 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:19 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Vladislav Namestnikov, Victor Hedman · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
