TBL
3–4
VGK
Final / OT · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 38-21-6
3–4
Final / OTL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 39-20-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
1100921701337
VGK
14052913421
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
TBL 38-21-6 · VGK 39-20-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
Lightning fell to the Golden Knights
The Lightning created the better chances (3.7 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Martinez's goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 37 and 21 shots on goal.
TBL 3.7 xG · 37 shots
VGK 2.4 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.8
OT
0.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Keegan Kolesar · 1st 00:27 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brayden Point · 1st 04:28 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3
William Karlsson · 3rd 02:27 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Chandler Stephenson · 3rd 05:39 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 17:53 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 19:32 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Alec Martinez · OT 03:09 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (56%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 70.
TBL 70%VGK 30%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Keegan Kolesar · 1st 00:27 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brayden Point · 1st 04:28 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3
William Karlsson · 3rd 02:27 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Chandler Stephenson · 3rd 05:39 · PP · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 17:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 19:32 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Alec Martinez · OT 03:09 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (56%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
