Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 45-26-6
5–0
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 39-29-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11431216532
NYI
01002008038
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 45-26-6 · NYI 39-29-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Islanders
The Lightning earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, and a 5–0 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 38 shots on goal.
TBL 3.2 xG · 32 shots
NYI 2.7 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 17:53 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Tanner Jeannot · 2nd 03:42 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 09:57 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 11:45 · 4–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 13:26 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 59.
TBL 59%NYI 41%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 17:53 · GWG · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Tanner Jeannot · 2nd 03:42 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 09:57 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 11:45 · 4–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 13:26 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
2
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, Ian Cole · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–0
4
Darren Raddysh, Brayden Point · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/38 saves · 0 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.