TBL
6–2
NYR
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 20-11-2
6–2
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 16-18-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
2631217625
NYR
11708119244
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 20-11-2 · NYR 16-18-1 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Rangers
The Lightning were outchanced (3.4 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 6–2 anyway. Igor Shesterkin allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 44 and 25 shots on goal.
TBL 2.9 xG · 25 shots
NYR 3.4 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 02:27 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Artemi Panarin · 1st 09:23 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McDonagh · 1st 18:11 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 03:35 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 05:02 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 08:08 · 5–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 00:13 · 5–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nick Paul · 3rd 14:12 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 42.
TBL 42%NYR 58%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 02:27 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Artemi Panarin · 1st 09:23 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McDonagh · 1st 18:11 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 03:35 · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 05:02 · SH · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 08:08 · PP · 5–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 00:13 · SH · 5–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nick Paul · 3rd 14:12 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
42/44 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/13 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
